Well, once again we sort of missed the mark, correctly predicting this year’s Oscar nominees (six of the major categories, anyway) only 77% of the time.
Here's how we fared, with prediction disparities in bold:
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
Straight Outta Compton
Bridge of Spies in, Carol and Straight Outta Compton out.
Larry Abrahamson (Room)
Todd Haynes (Carol)
Alejandro González Iñárritu (The Revenant)
Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)
Adam McKay (The Big Short)
George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)
Ridley Scott (The Martian)
Perhaps the omission of Todd Haynes was not so surprising, but that of Ridley Scott was, as was the nomination for Larry Abrahmson. And good for George Miller.
BEST ACTOR Bryan Cranston (Trumbo)
Matt Damon (The Martian)
Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)
Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)
Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
Géza Röhrig (Son of Saul)
A Röhrig cureveball was more hopeful than anything, and Son of Saul will at least take the Oscar for Best Foreign Film. As for Cranston, he can savor his first nomination while applauding DiCaprio when Leo finally gets the gold.
Cate Blanchett (Carol)
Brie Larson (Room)
Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)
Charlotte Rampling (45 Years)
Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale (The Big Short)
Steve Carell (The Big Short)
Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)
Tom Hardy (The Revenant)
Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)
Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)
Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
Tom Hardy is probably the biggest surprise in all of the major categories, as he was rarely mentioned in the precursor awards. Well, perhaps the omission of Idris Elba is the bigger surprise, as he often made the short list for other honors. Sentimental favorite Stallone is poised to win this category.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jane Fonda (Youth)
Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)
Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)
Rooney Mara (Carol)
Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)
Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
Academy sentiment obviously didn’t extend to Jane Fonda, but it’s nice to see McAdams receive her first nod.